Mets Led By Hitter Pete Alonso on the Road Forecasted to Beat Favored Braves

Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos


Marcus Stroman on September 30, 2015
Keith Allison License

August 15, 2019 -- The Mets with a 58.50% forecasted chance to beat the Braves on the road based on the Snoozle model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Mets, Marcus Stroman, will be paired with the hosting Braves's pitcher Julio Teheran. The Mets starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.865 outs, allow 2.204 earned runs, and a 0.016 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Julio Teheran will have 2.662 earned runs, a predicted 21.120 outs, and 6.202 strike outs.

The Mets's Pete Alonso and the Braves's Freddie Freeman will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Pete Alonso is predicted to bat for 0.253 with 0.824 RBIs and 0.754 runs scored. According to our game model, Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to bring in 0.628 RBIs and 0.603 runs scored, with an 0.377 OBP and 0.844 Ks.

The Mets are the best value for the money line based on the +110 odds and a forecasted 58.50% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 54.12% over estimate and +100 line odds for 9.5 runs.

Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 13:03:49 UTC