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Marlins Predicted to Fall at Home to Phillies Despite Brian Anderson's Effort
Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
Vince Velasquez of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 23, 2019 -- The Marlins under perform at home with a 64.05% chance to lose against the Phillies based on our model.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Marlins's Hector Noesi and the Phillies's Vince Velasquez. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Hector Noesi will have 2.869 earned runs, a predicted 21.139 outs, and 5.890 strike outs. Vince Velasquez is estimated to have 2.337 earned runs, 21.885 outs, and 7.048 strike outs.
The Marlins's Brian Anderson and the Phillies's Corey Dickerson will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Brian Anderson is predicted to have 0.529 RBIs and score 0.531 run over an estimated 4.142 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Corey Dickerson is predicted to bat for 0.270 with 0.786 RBIs and 0.552 runs scored.
The Phillies are the best value for the money line based on the -175 odds and a forecasted 64.05% win estimate. With a predicted 55.29% likelihood and -115 odds at 9.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC