Marlins Hurler Pablo Lopez Forecasted Loser at Home Against Nationals

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos


Austin Voth on July 13, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 22, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Marlins are predicted with a 72.07% to lose at home against the Nationals.

Probable starting pitchers Pablo Lopez and Austin Voth duel it out for the Marlins and Nationals, respectively. The Marlins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.697 outs, allow 3.000 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game. The Nationals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.577 outs, allow 1.970 earned runs, and a 0.027 probability of a complete game.

Hitters Jorge Alfaro from the Marlins and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the offense for their teams. Jorge Alfaro is forecast to bat for 0.253 with 0.452 RBIs and 0.343 runs scored. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon from the plate is forecast to score 0.811 run, 0.784 RBIs and have a 0.398 OBP.

According to the -213 ML away odds and an predicted 72.07% chance to win, the Nationals are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.28% over estimate and -113 line odds for 9.0 runs.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC