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Marlins Forecasted to Lose at Home to Giants Despite Garrett Cooper's Effort

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Madison Bumgarner
SD Dirk on Flickr License

September 14, 2019 -- The Marlins has an estimated 63.69% likelihood to lose to the Giants based on our model.

Likely visiting starter Robert Dugger will will duel it out with the Giants probable starter Madison Bumgarner. The Snoozle model estimates the Marlins pitcher will have an outing for 6.736 innings, allowing 2.345 earned runs, with 2.668 walks. Our model forecasts the Giants pitcher will have an outing for 7.096 innings, allowing 1.707 earned runs, with a 2.099 walks.

Garrett Cooper, Marlins's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Mike Yastrzemski in today's game. According to our game model, Garrett Cooper is estimated to have 0.406 RBIs and score 0.391 run over an estimated 4.123 at-bats. The Giants's Mike Yastrzemski is estimated to score 0.686 runs, 0.623 RBIs and have a 0.327 OBP.

According to the +180 ML away odds and an predicted 36.31% chance to win, the Marlins are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.82% over estimate and -102 line odds for 7.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 13:05:16 UTC