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Mark Canha's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Athletics Over the Astros
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 18, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Athletics are predicted with a 71.93% to lose at home against the Astros.
The hosting Athletics have Brett Anderson in the rotation against the Astros's pitcher Zack Greinke. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Brett Anderson will have 3.198 earned runs, a predicted 20.304 outs, and 5.459 strike outs. The Astros's Zack Greinke is predicted to throw for 6.780 innings, allowing 2.180 earned runs, with 6.083 Ks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Mark Canha and Yordan Alvarez from Athletics and Astros, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Mark Canha is predicted to have 0.475 RBIs and score 0.490 runs over an estimated 3.582 at-bats. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to have 1.042 RBIs and score 0.863 runs over an estimated 4.196 at-bats.
With -170 money line odds and a estimated 71.93% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Astros over the Astros. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.19% over likelihood and +100 odds.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 13:04:26 UTC