Mariners Hurler Justin Dunn Forecasted Loser at Home Against Astros

Tue, Sep 24, 2019 | Emma Botos


Gerrit Cole of the pirates.
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September 24, 2019 -- The Mariners change of losing to the Astros is 84.62% based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Justin Dunn and Gerrit Cole duel it out for the Mariners and Astros, respectively. Justin Dunn is estimated from the model to throw for 6.197 innings, allowing 3.278 earned runs, with 5.644 Ks. The Astros starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 24.006 outs, allow 1.287 earned runs, and a 0.084 probability of a complete game.

Kyle Lewis, Mariners's top hitter, will slug it out against Yordan Alvarez in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Kyle Lewis is predicted to have 0.466 RBIs and score 0.409 runs over an estimated 3.992 at-bats. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to have 1.000 RBIs and score 0.869 runs over an estimated 4.193 at-bats.

For this game the Astros are the best value on the money line bets with on the -476 away odds and a predicted 84.62% likelihood to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 56.05% over estimate and -117 line odds for 9.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, September 24, 2019 13:06:26 UTC