Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Stick is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Favorite Blue Jays Over the Orioles

Tue, Sep 24, 2019 | Emma Botos


Dylan Bundy
Keith Allison on Flickr License

September 24, 2019 -- The Blue Jays change of losing to the Orioles is 51.34% based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Blue Jays's Anthony Kay and the Orioles's Dylan Bundy. Our model forecasts the Blue Jays pitcher will have an outing for 6.677 innings, allowing 2.454 earned runs, with a 2.502 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 6.782 innings, allowing 2.252 earned runs, with 2.693 walks.

Hitters Lourdes Gurriel Jr. from the Blue Jays and Trey Mancini from the Orioles will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is estimated to bring in 0.688 RBIs and 0.605 runs scored, with an 0.324 OBP and 1.172 Ks. The Orioles's Trey Mancini from the plate is forecast to score 0.618 runs, 0.691 RBIs and have a 0.348 OBP.

The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +118 odds and a forecasted 51.34% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 62.89% over estimate and -115 line odds for 10.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, September 24, 2019 13:06:26 UTC