Jeff McNeil's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Mets Over the Braves

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos


Steven Matz on July 7, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 14, 2019 -- The Mets has an estimated 59.73% likelihood to lose to the Braves based on our model.

On the mound for the Mets will be Steven Matz matched up against Dallas Keuchel. The Snoozle model estimates the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.168 innings, allowing 3.298 earned runs, with 3.457 walks. Our model forecasts the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.553 innings, allowing 2.541 earned runs, with a 2.628 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Jeff McNeil and Freddie Freeman from Mets and Braves, respectively. The Mets's Jeff McNeil from the plate is forecast to score 0.737 runs, 0.459 RBIs and have a 0.387 OBP. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bat for 0.313 with 0.834 RBIs and 0.801 run scored.

For this matchup Braves are the best value on the money line bets with on the -135 home ML odds and a forecasted 59.73% chance to win. According to prediction model the 54.93% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC