Home Favorite Michigan's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Michigan State

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-31 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Michigan is predicted with a 52.5% to lose at home against Michigan State.

Michigan has an average of 25.6 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Michigan will throw 29.4 competitions on 35.6 attempts against Michigan State with an estimated 1.7 interceptions for a total of 341.4 yards and 2.1 passing touchdown . Our model forecasts Michigan will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Michigan State defense on 35.2 attempts for a projected 150.7 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast Michigan State to score 26.1 points on the road. Michigan State is forecast to pass for 2.2 touchdowns on 35.1 pass attempts with 28.8 competitions for 349.1 yards, and a predicted 1.6 interceptions. The model predicts Michigan State will rush on 35.0 attempts against Michigan with an estimated total of 136.7 yards and 0.9 running touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 86.1% probability to cover a +21.5 spread, Michigan State is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 51.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 76.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:00:25 UTC