Home Alabama's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog Texas A&M

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-03 -- Alabama change of losing to Texas A&M is 54.0% based on our model.

At home, Alabama is forecast to score 24.6 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Alabama will throw 26.1 competitions on 33.0 attempts against Texas A&M with an estimated 1.5 interceptions for a total of 288.8 yards and 1.9 passing touchdowns. Alabama is forecast to rush for 175.7 yards on 32.6 attempts with an estimated 1.0 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Texas A&M has an average of 26.9 points for the game. Our model forecasts Texas A&M will pass for 2.1 touchdown and 1.7 interceptions against the Alabama defense on a forecasted 26.2 competitions with 32.3 attempts for 281.3 yards. The model predicts Texas A&M will rush on 32.3 attempts against Alabama with an estimated total of 155.9 yards and 1.1 running touchdown.

Texas A&M is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 85.2% likelihood estimate to cover a +18.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 72.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 53.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC