Falcons Forecasted to Lose at Home to Chiefs

Sun, Dec 27, 2021 | Rob Otto


2020-12-27 -- On the road, the Falcons has a 57.6% chance to lose to the Chiefs from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

On the road, the Falcons are forecast to score 18.8 points against Chiefs. Our model forecasts Falcons will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Chiefs defense on a forecasted 27.2 competitions with 44.3 attempts for 295.0 yards. The Falcons are estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Chiefs with 23.6 rush attempts for 104.4 yards.

In their hometown, the Chiefs are forecast to score 23.3 points. The Chiefs are expected to throw for 1.9 touchdowns with 44.1 pass attempts with 30.1 competitions for 330.5 yards, and an estimated 0.1 interception. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Falcons defense on 26.8 attempts for a projected 117.7 yards.

Based on a predicted 63.5% probability to cover a +10.5 spread, the Falcons are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 53.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 55.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sun, December 27, 2020 13:06:51 UTC