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Sat, Nov 28, 2020 | Rob Otto
2020-11-29 -- The Falcons under perform at home with a 69.3% chance to lose against the Raiders based on our football model.
At home, the Falcons are forecast to score 17.8 points. Our model forecasts the Falcons will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the Raiders defense on a projected 23.2 competitions with 39.0 attempts for 267.6 passing yards. The Falcons are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Raiders with 23.3 rush attempts for 117.7 yards.
The Raiders are estimated to score 27.9 points on the road. Our model forecasts Raiders will pass for 2.4 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Falcons defense on a forecasted 32.7 competitions with 49.0 attempts for 378.6 yards. The model predicts the Raiders will rush on 29.2 attempts against the Falcons with an estimated total of 94.3 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.
For this game, the Raiders are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 69.3% probability to beat the -3.0 point spread. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 54.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Sat, November 28, 2020 13:03:48 UTC