Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos
The Baltimore Orioles visit the United States Naval Academy in March 2019 This file is a work of a sailor or employee of the U.S. Navy, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.
United States Naval Academy License
September 11, 2019 -- On the road, the Dodgers take the Orioles for a 65.56% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.
On the mound for the Dodgers will be Ross Stripling matched up against John Means. The Dodgers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.209 outs, allow 2.165 earned runs, and a 0.018 probability of a complete game. The Orioles starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.164 outs, allow 2.682 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters David Freese and Trey Mancini from Dodgers and Orioles, respectively. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, David Freese 3B is predicted to bat for 0.287 with 0.648 RBIs and 0.808 runs scored. The Orioles's Trey Mancini is estimated to score 0.584 runs, 0.553 RBIs and have a 0.326 OBP.
The Dodgers are the best value for the money line based on the -180 odds and a forecasted 65.56% win estimate. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-115)/under(-105) odds, the 9.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.
Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 13:04:46 UTC