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Dan Vogelbach's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Mariners Over the Blue Jays

Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos

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August 18, 2019 -- The Mariners predicted with a 66.02% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Blue Jays based on the Snoozle Sports model

The Mariners have Yusei Kikuchi as the probable starting pitcher against Wilmer Font. Yusei Kikuchi is estimated to have 2.821 earned runs, 21.055 outs, and 7.651 strike outs. The Blue Jays starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.268 outs, allow 2.102 earned runs, and a 0.021 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Dan Vogelbach and Bo Bichette from Mariners and Blue Jays, respectively. According to our game model, Dan Vogelbach is estimated to have 0.521 RBIs and score 0.495 runs over an estimated 3.605 at-bats. According to our game model, Bo Bichette is estimated to bring in 0.637 RBIs and 0.880 runs scored, with an 0.423 OBP and 1.143 Ks.

Based on the -160 odds and an estimated 66.02% chance to win, the Blue Jays are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 10.0 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 59.47% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 13:04:26 UTC