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Corey Dickerson's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Phillies Over the Underdog Padres

Fri, Aug 16, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Vince Velasquez of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 16, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Phillies have a 67.92% take a home loss against the Padres.

Likely starting pitcher Vince Velasquez for the Phillies will be matched up with the Padres probable starter Chris Paddack. Our model forecasts the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 6.672 innings, allowing 2.329 earned runs, with a 2.822 walks. The Padres's Chris Paddack is predicted to throw for 7.227 innings, allowing 1.656 earned runs, with 5.840 Ks.

Hitters Corey Dickerson from the Phillies and Fernando Tatis Jr. from the Padres will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Corey Dickerson is estimated to bring in 0.497 RBIs and 0.356 runs scored, with an 0.241 OBP and 0.429 Ks. According to our game model, Fernando Tatis Jr. is estimated to have 0.668 RBIs and score 0.786 runs over an estimated 4.492 at-bats.

With -110 money line odds and a estimated 67.92% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Padres over the Padres. With a predicted 70.43% likelihood and -110 odds at 9.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, August 16, 2019 13:04:11 UTC