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Brian Anderson's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Marlins Over the Braves
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Brian Anderson and J. T. Realmuto of the Miami Marlins. Austin Wynns of the Baltimore Orioles. Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018.
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License
August 20, 2019 -- The Marlins has an estimated 75.77% likelihood to lose to the Braves based on our model.
On the mound for the Marlins will be Elieser Hernandez matched up against Dallas Keuchel. Elieser Hernandez is estimated to have 2.909 earned runs, 20.752 outs, and 5.941 strike outs. Dallas Keuchel is estimated from the model to throw for 6.813 innings, allowing 1.804 earned runs, with 7.203 Ks.
The Marlins's Brian Anderson and the Braves's Adeiny Hechavarria will slug it out from the plate. According to our game model, Brian Anderson is estimated to have 0.455 RBIs and score 0.591 run over an estimated 4.088 at-bats. According to our game model, Adeiny Hechavarria is estimated to bring in 1.145 RBIs and 0.748 runs scored, with an 0.317 OBP and 0.045 Ks.
For this matchup Braves are the best value on the money line bets with on the -280 home ML odds and a forecasted 75.77% chance to win. The over/under line of 9.5 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 63.67% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC