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Braves Led By Pitcher Julio Teheran at Home Expected to Beat the Marlins

Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Caleb Smith with the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park in April 2019
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License

August 21, 2019 -- The Braves likely winner at home over the Marlins with a 53.34% of being correct based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Braves's Julio Teheran and the Marlins's Caleb Smith. The Braves starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.923 outs, allow 2.272 earned runs, and a 0.015 probability of a complete game. The Marlins's Caleb Smith is predicted to throw for 6.835 innings, allowing 2.063 earned runs, with 5.244 Ks.

Hitters Adeiny Hechavarria from the Braves and Brian Anderson from the Marlins will lead the offense for their teams. Adeiny Hechavarria is forecast to bat for 0.291 with 0.976 RBIs and 0.594 runs scored. The Marlins's Brian Anderson from the plate is forecast to score 0.606 runs, 0.554 RBIs and have a 0.341 OBP.

The Marlins are the best value for the money line based on the +175 odds and a forecasted 46.66% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 65.95% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 13:05:07 UTC