MLB Top 5 Picks for Jul 18, 2016

Mon, Jul 18, 2016 | Snoozle Auto Generate

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Having an edge over the house requires not only knowing which action has the best value, but also the probability of the correctness of the pick. Having an estimate of the probability allows you to better allocate your resources using bet optimization formulas like Kelly criterion and better's edge.

During the MLB season, Snoozle Sports will provide you the top 5 picks for the day based on the projected lineups at the time of the predictions. The predictions are made with Snoozle Sports Monte Carlo MLB Simulator. Historically, this simulator has a slight advantage over the house O/U lines. All the simulation results for the day are also available.


1. Rays (+123) at Rockies (-133)
Over/Under: 11.5 (-110/-110)
UNDER with 0.7074 probability estimate
2. Astros (-135) at Athletics (+125)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6623 probability estimate
3. Rangers (+112) at Angels (-122)
Over/Under: 8.5 (+100/-120)
OVER with 0.6260 probability estimate
4. Braves (+128) at Reds (-138)
Over/Under: 9.0 (-110/-110)
UNDER with 0.5947 probability estimate
5. White Sox (-142) at Mariners (+132)
Over/Under: 7.5 (+100/-120)
UNDER with 0.5790 probability estimate