MLB Top 5 Picks for Jul 04, 2016

Mon, Jul 4, 2016 | Snoozle Auto Generate

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Having an edge over the house requires not only knowing which action has the best value, but also the probability of the correctness of the pick. Having an estimate of the probability allows you to better allocate your resources using bet optimization formulas like Kelly criterion and better's edge.

During the MLB season, Snoozle Sports will provide you the top 5 picks for the day based on the projected lineups at the time of the predictions. The predictions are made with Snoozle Sports Monte Carlo MLB Simulator. Historically, this simulator has a slight advantage over the house O/U lines. All the simulation results for the day are also available.


1. Marlins (+140) at Mets (-150)
Over/Under: 7.5 (-115/-105)
OVER with 0.8156 probability estimate
2. Mariners (+148) at Astros (-158)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-105/-115)
OVER with 0.8133 probability estimate
3. Orioles (+136) at Dodgers (-146)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.7027 probability estimate
4. Brewers (+210) at Nationals (-230)
Over/Under: 7.0 (-120/+100)
UNDER with 0.6684 probability estimate
5. Angels (+116) at Rays (-126)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6662 probability estimate